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Where Does Chargers-Patriots Rank Among Wild Card Weekend Matchups?

260106_BoltsBuzz

January postseason football is here.

The Chargers playoff journey begins in New England as they travel to the face the No. 2 seed in the AFC.

It's a matchup that contains a number of storylines, including the star-studded quarterback matchup of Justin Herbert and Drake Maye.

It's why this game is CBS Sports' Garrett Podell's No. 4 ranked Wild Card matchup of the weekend, as the quarterback matchup and high-level units face off in a fascinating contest.

Podell wrote:

[Maye will] square off opposite rocket-armed Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert, whose 24,820 career yards passing are the second-most in a player's first six seasons in NFL history. Only Peyton Manning (24,885) had more in the first six years of his career. Both the Patriots (18.8 points per game, the fourth-best in the NFL) and the Chargers (20.0 points per game, the ninth-best in the NFL) are top 10 scoring defenses.

Check out the best shots from the Chargers Week 18 matchup against the Broncos!

The Chargers are currently sixth in the AFC to make the Super Bowl according to ESPN’s Football Power Index at 9.1 percent.

A reason for optimism heading into the playoffs? The franchise quarterback, of course.

Herbert has put together one of the best seasons of his career, navigating attrition on the Bolts offense while also dealing with some of his own.

He's been a difference-maker all year, and has a chance to continue being so heading into the playoffs.

ESPN's Kris Rhim wrote that Herbert is the Bolts biggest reason for hope for a potential deep playoff run.

The Chargers' recipe this season has been simple: rely on an elite defense and a few magical plays from their quarterback each game. Playing behind one of the league's worst offensive lines, Herbert has made plays with defenders draped over him and scrambled for a career-high 498 rushing yards to keep this team afloat. He'll attempt to continue doing just that to lead a playoff run -- all while nursing a fractured left hand.

The Athletic's NFL Projection Model has the Bolts slightly lower to win the AFC at a 4.8 percent chance, with a 2.4 percent chance to win the Super Bowl.

Even with that, the Chargers have a chance to be a threat in January, according to The Athletic's Jeff Howe.

Howe wrote:

The Chargers were quietly one of the more consistent teams in the league this season. If they didn't falter in Week 17 against the Houston Texans, the Chargers would've played the Broncos for the AFC West title in Week 18. But without that on the table, Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh rested quarterback Justin Herbert and some key players in the regular-season finale.

Herbert had an outstanding season and should make a dent in the MVP voting. And quite frankly, he needed to be great without his top-flight starting tackles. Herbert was sacked 54 times, one shy of the league high.

Defensive coordinator Jesse Minter, a head coaching candidate, has led a solid unit in two seasons on the job. They're in the top eight in points, total yards, rushing yards and passing yards allowed, so it won't be easy for Maye and Co. to put up points this weekend.

The Chargers and Patriots will play on NBC's *Sunday Night Football* with kickoff at 5 p.m. (PT).

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