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AFC Playoff Picture: Chargers Hold No. 5 Seed, Remain in Contention for AFC West Title

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Welcome back to the AFC Playoff Picture, a weekly look at where the Chargers stand in playoff chase.

The Bolts currently sit at 9-4 and are in a playoff spot with four games left.

Here's the look at the playoff landscape — with standings, current playoff odds and a status update — as we head into Week 15.

1. Denver Broncos (11-2)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: vs. Green Bay

Status: The Broncos currently have a 87 percent chance to win the AFC West.

Playoff Odds: Greater than 99 percent (The Athletic), greater than 99 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and greater than 99 percent (ESPN)

2. New England Patriots (11-2)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: vs. Buffalo

Status: The Patriots can clinch the AFC East this weekend against Buffalo.

Playoff Odds: Greater than 99 percent (The Athletic), greater than 99 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and greater than 99 percent (ESPN)

3. Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: vs. New York Jets

Status: The Jaguars are atop the AFC South and have their sights set on a division title.

Playoff Odds: 98 percent (The Athletic), 97 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 97 percent (ESPN)

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: vs. Miami

Status: The Steelers are back in first place in the AFC North after a win over the Ravens.

Playoff Odds: 70 percent (The Athletic), 66 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 68 percent (ESPN)

View photos of the Chargers 53-man roster as of Dec. 10, 2025.

5. Los Angeles Chargers (9-4)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: at Kansas City

Status: The Chargers dug deep to win Monday night as Justin Herbert and Tony Jefferson each came up clutch when it mattered most. The Bolts now turn their attention to Sunday's road game in Kansas City in a tilt that has massive playoff ramifications all around. First, the Chargers can get to 10 wins, which feels like it might be enough to make the playoffs. But a win Sunday would also essentially eliminate the Chiefs from playoff consideration. This is a big one.

Playoff Odds: 78 percent (The Athletic), 76 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 79 percent (ESPN)

6. Buffalo Bills (9-4)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: at New England

Status: The Bills rallied past the Bengals on Sunday and now face a pivotal division game against the Patriots.

Playoff Odds: 98 percent (The Athletic), 96 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 97 percent (ESPN)

7. Houston Texans (8-5)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: vs. Arizona

Status: The Texans have moved into a playoff spot for the first time this season.

Playoff Odds: 94 percent (The Athletic), 88 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 88 percent (ESPN)

8. Indianapolis Colts (8-5)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: at Seattle

Status: The Colts will be without quarterback Daniel Jones for the rest of the season.

Playoff Odds: 20 percent (The Athletic), 32 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 27 percent (ESPN)

9. Baltimore Ravens (6-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: at Cincinnati

Status: The Ravens have an uphill climb to make the playoffs after Sunday's home loss to the Steelers.

Playoff Odds: 27 percent (The Athletic), 33 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 30 percent (ESPN)

10. Kansas City Chiefs (6-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: vs the Chargers

Status: The Chiefs streak of nine straight AFC West titles is officially over.

Playoff Odds: 12 percent (The Athletic), 11 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 11 percent (ESPN)

11. Miami Dolphins (6-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: at Pittsburgh

Status: The Dolphins have won four straight to remain alive for the postseason.

Playoff Odds: Less than 1 percent (The Athletic), less than 1 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and less than 1 percent (ESPN)

12. Cincinnati Bengals (4-9)

Upcoming schedule

Week 15: at Baltimore

Status: The Bengals couldn't hold a late lead Sunday against the Bills.

Playoff Odds: 3 percent (The Athletic), 1 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 3 percent (ESPN)

Eliminated From Playoff Contention

Las Vegas Raiders

Tennessee Titans

Cleveland Browns

New York Jets

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