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AFC Playoff Picture: Chargers Jump to 5th Seed Ahead of Week 11

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Welcome back to the AFC Playoff Picture, a weekly look at where the Chargers stand in playoff chase.

The Bolts currently sit at 7-3, have won three straight games and are squarely in the playoff field entering mid November.

Here's the look at the AFC playoff picture — with standings, current playoff odds and a status update — as we head into Week 11.

1. Indianapolis Colts (8-2)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: Bye Week

Status: The Colts won in Germany on Sunday behind 244 rushing yards from Jonathan Taylor.

Playoff Odds: 95 percent (The Athletic), 92 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 95 percent (ESPN)

2. Denver Broncos (8-2)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Kansas City

Status: Denver leads the AFC West and has five wins by four points or fewer this season.

Playoff Odds: 92 percent (The Athletic), 91 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 92 percent (ESPN)

3. New England Patriots (8-2)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. New York Jets

Status: The Patriots have won seven straight games and tallied an impressive road win Sunday in Tampa Bay.

Playoff Odds: Greater than 99 percent (The Athletic), 95 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 95 percent (ESPN)

Get an inside look at the postgame celebration from the Bolts 25-10 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Presented by SoFi!

4. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Cincinnati

Status: The Steelers still lead the AFC North but Pittsburgh's cushion has been whittled down to one game.

Playoff Odds: 32 percent (The Athletic), 39 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 51 percent (ESPN)

5. Los Angeles Chargers (7-3)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: at Jacksonville

Status: The Chargers are rolling with three straight wins, an impressive feat given the amount of injuries the Bolts have sustained throughout the season. Sunday night's win over Pittsburgh was noteworthy due to the physical nature of the game, something Chargers Head Coach Jim Harbaugh made sure to harp on. With a Week 12 bye on the horizon, the Chargers will now get ready for a road game in Jacksonville. If the Bolts can secure their eighth win, there's a chance the Chargers are in first place in the division at the bye.

Playoff Odds: 82 percent (The Athletic), 81 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 85 percent (ESPN)

6. Buffalo Bills (6-3)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Tampa Bay

Status: The heavily-favored Bills dropped a road contest in Miami on Sunday. Buffalo now hosts Tampa Bay in one of the top games of Week 11.

Playoff Odds: 88 percent (The Athletic), 85 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 87 percent (ESPN)

7. Jacksonville Jaguars (5-4)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. the Chargers

Status: The Jaguars looked to be on cruise control Sunday in Houston before they were out-scored 26-0 in the fourth quarter. Sunday's game against the Bolts will be another big one for playoff tiebreaker purposes.

Playoff Odds: 37 percent (The Athletic), 40 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 40 percent (ESPN)

8. Kansas City Chiefs (5-4)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: at Denver

Status: Sunday's game between the Chiefs and Broncos in Denver has massive playoff ramifications for all involved.

Playoff Odds: 75 percent (The Athletic), 65 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 76 percent (ESPN)

9. Houston Texans (4-5)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: at Tennessee

Status: The Texans may have saved their season with a furious fourth-quarter comeback against the Jaguars on Sunday at home.

Playoff Odds: 21 percent (The Athletic), 33 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 19 percent (ESPN)

10. Baltimore Ravens (4-5)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: at Cleveland

Status: The Ravens are now only a game behind the Steelers in the AFC North and still have to play Pittsburgh twice.

Playoff Odds: 78 percent (The Athletic), 73 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 64 percent (ESPN)

11. Cincinnati Bengals (3-6)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: at Pittsburgh

Status: With Joe Burrow returning to practice, the Bengals are hoping to stay afloat for a late-season playoff push.

Playoff Odds: 1 percent (The Athletic), 2 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and 7 percent (ESPN)

12. Miami Dolphins (3-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Washington

Status: There was nothing fluky about Miami's dominant win over Buffalo on Sunday.

Playoff Odds: Less than 1 percent (The Athletic), 1 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and less than 1 percent (ESPN)

13. New York Jets (2-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: at New England

Status: The Jets now have two consecutive wins after starting the season with seven straight losses.

Playoff Odds: Less than 1 percent (The Athletic), less than 1 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and less than 1 percent (ESPN)

14. Las Vegas Raiders (2-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Dallas

Status: The Raiders have scored fewer than 10 points in four games this year, including Thursday night's 10-7 loss to Denver.

Playoff Odds: Less than 1 percent (The Athletic), less than 1 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and less than 1 percent (ESPN)

15. Cleveland Browns (2-7)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Baltimore

Status: Cleveland is still looking for its first division win of the 2025 season.

Playoff Odds: 1 percent (The Athletic), 2 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and less than 1 percent (ESPN)

16. Tennessee Titans (1-8)

Upcoming schedule

Week 11: vs. Houston

Status: The Titans are on pace to hold the No. 1 pick in the draft for the second straight year.

Playoff Odds: Less than 1 percent (The Athletic), less than 1 percent (NFL Next Gen Stats) and less than 1 percent (ESPN)

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