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5 Final Thoughts Ahead of Chargers-Patriots in Wild Card Round

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The Chargers have drawn the New England Patriots in the Wild Card Round of the 2025 NFL playoffs.

Kickoff is at 5 p.m. (PT) from New England.

The Chargers-Patriots betting line shows the Bolts are slight underdogs for Sunday.

Here are five final thoughts ahead of the Wild Card Round.

1. It's Wild Card Weekend

Welcome to the playoffs.

The Chargers and Patriots are set for a postseason tilt Sunday night in New England.

Jim Harbaugh's squad is the No. 2 seed after going 11-6 while the Patriots are the No. 2 seed in the AFC after winning the AFC East with a 14-3 record.

Harbaugh this week gave an apt description of what postseason football is all about.

"There's going to be bodies flying around, people running around, people are going to [have] their hair on fire," Harbaugh said. "Hit something. Hit somebody, whosever moving. Ask questions later."

He later added: "It's like the coolest chaos of football. Right from the opening kickoff."

The Chargers will be led by quarterback Justin Herbert, whose toughness was the ultimate storyline for the Bolts in 2025.

Herbert sustained a fractured left hand in Week 13 but said Wednesday that resting in the regular-season finale was the right move.

"Not taking hits on it last week was probably pretty helpful for it," Herbert said.

Defensively, the Chargers will be challenged by Patriots quarterback Drake Maye. But Jesse Minter’s defense has full belief they can get the job done on the road.

"Just how together we are and how much love and trust there is among our group," Minter said. "We feel like we're capable walking in anywhere and winning."

The Chargers went to the playoffs last year but were one and done. Those who were on that team know they don't want to feel the same disappointed two years in a row.

"Shoot, we're all just trying to survive another week. We know what is at stake. It's a one-game season and we're approaching it like that," Ladd McConkey said.

Can the Chargers be only the second No. 7 seed to win since the NFL expanded the playoff field in 2020?

We'll find out Sunday night.

"We have a lot of confidence. Who wants to go into the playoffs with no confidence?," Daiyan Henley said. "We have the thought to go all the way, but we also have the thought to win this weekend.

"We don't want to be a team that's afraid to say that, you don't want to be a team that lacks that confidence," Henley added. "You want to be able to play like it."

Harbaugh said: "[It's the] ultra-competitive season … put up or shut up time."

Herbert and Khalil Mack, two players looking for their first career postseason win, echoed that sentiment.

"You've got to do everything you can to win them," Herbert said. "That's where we want to be at this time of year … playing meaningful football.

"We're in a position to be in a position, like Coach says," Herbert added. "It's a great opportunity for us."

Mack added: "It's either win or go home. I don't know what else you need."

2. Is the Chargers O-line ready?

The Chargers started 10 different offensive line combinations in front of Herbert in the 16 games the quarterback started in 2025.

As the playoffs arrive, the Bolts are hoping to rely on a configuration they used coming out of the bye week … and one that produced a pair of wins.

The Chargers will roll out, from left to right, the group of Jamaree Salyer, Zion Johnson, Bradley Bozeman, Mekhi Becton and Trey Pipkins III. Salyer has missed the past two games with a hamstring injury but is off the injury report for Sunday night.

"I feel good," Salyer said. "The training staff did a really good job of getting me to a place where I feel really good.

"Things went well at practice so we'll progress through this week and see how it goes," Salyer added.

That starting five was the lineup in Weeks 13 and 14 when the Chargers earned back-to-back wins over the Raiders and Eagles.

"I feel really good about that group," Chargers Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman said. "The communication has been great this week, too, they're asking all the right questions when it comes to what we're doing. They're really dialed in."

"I got trust in everyone that's in our room," Bozeman said.

As mentioned above, the Bolts started double-digit combinations in front of Herbert after Rashawn Slater was lost for the season in training camp and Joe Alt suffered an ankle injury that sidelined him for the year in Week 9.

Was it an ideal year for the offensive line? Of course not.

But the unit is now hoping that having seven linemen start at least five games in 2025 means all the shuffling was worth it.

"It's unfortunate that you have to go through it but it's good for us at the same time," Herbert said. "Adversity is part of the NFL and you're going to deal with injuries.

"But to have a group of guys that you're able to throw in certain spots here and there, those guys don't miss a beat," Herbert added.

Pipkins said: "You don't want to throw away all the lessons you've learned throughout the season, but all of that stuff doesn't matter anymore. I feel really good about it. No matter who we have in there, I trust the guys to do their job. But with this group, we're in a good spot and have a good gameplan."

The Patriots finished tied for 21st in the NFL with five other teams with 35.0 total sacks.

New England didn't have a player reach double digits but were led by Harold Landry (8.5) and K'Lavon Chaisson (7.5).

But the Patriots defense also finished 10th in pressure rate (38.3), according to Pro Football Focus, and also led the NFL with a 61-percent stunt rate on third downs.

Don't think the Bolts are taking this group lightly.

"A very good team, you can tell they are well coached," Pipkins said. "Always in the right gap and they play well together.

"It's going to be a good challenge and we've got to go out there and do what we're supposed to do," Pipkins added.

Bozeman said: "You got to be on it with your sets. You have to be on it with everything you do as an offensive line. Staying together and getting it picked up."

Relive the Chargers' postseason appearances through images from playoff games, highlighting the moments that defined the team in the NFL playoffs.

3. All eyes on Drake Maye

The Chargers defense gushed about Maye's skillset this week. And for good reason.

The Patriots quarterback threw for 4,394 yards with 31 touchdowns and just eight interceptions while leading the NFL with a passer rating of 113.5.

Maye, who is just 23, became the youngest quarterback in NFL history to post a 4,000-yard, 30-touchdown season with fewer than 10 interceptions.

"Poise, calm, can make all the throws," Derwin James said. "He can run, just do it all."

Donte Jackson added: "The film says it all. This kid can really do everything."

Minter also offered his input on Maye.

"Maybe the top offense in football right now when you look at all the numbers," Minter said. "MVP-level quarterback ... We saw the talent when we played the last year."

The Bolts will need to be wary of Maye's penchant for the deep ball after he led the NFL in yards per pass attempt (8.9) in 2025.

But the bigger key will be limiting Maye's impact on the game with his legs.

Maye, the No. 3 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, led all quarterbacks with 61 scrambles this season. He also tied for first in first downs gained on scrambles (26) and was third in rushing yards (422) off scrambles.

The Chargers should be well-prepared to defend Maye considering they faced the likes of Patrick Mahomes and Bo Nix multiple times in AFC West play.

Overall, the Bolts gave up just 5.1 yards per quarterback scramble in 2025, the third-best number in the league despite facing the second-most scrambles.

"He's special, man … it's going to be a challenge to keep him in the pocket," Mack said. "Rush and coverage are going to have to work [together] very well this week."

Tony Jefferson added: "Especially being in this division with Mahomes, Bo Nix, luckily we've been able to experience that and have some games where we had to defend that going into it. We understand what he can do, so it will be a challenge we'll be up for."

A final crucial component to keep an eye on: does Minter employ Henley as a spy to try and keep Maye in check?

"He throws well on the run but he's also athletic enough to get the first down, extend the play and take off and run for big plays," Minter said. "We've certainly faced a gauntlet of those guys, I would say, throughout the course of the year. But he's doing it at a level right now … in the top 2 of the MVP conversation, and rightfully so.

"He can [do] play-action pass and take off, and if you're way back there in coverage, gain 30 or 40 yards," Minter added. "He can pick up first downs on critical third-and-3, third-and-5 … so a lot of the stuff we've seen throughout the year hopefully has us prepared."

Take a look at some shots as the Chargers host multiple events across Southern California in the lead-up to the Sunday, Jan. 11 Wild Card matchup against the New England Patriots.

4. Who wins in the red zone?

McConkey summed up postseason football in perhaps the perfect way earlier this week.

"We know how important it is to lock in on the little things because they become the big things," the wide receiver said.

On Sunday, look for the red zone to be a key indicator of which team could come out on top.

The Chargers boast one of the league's top red-zone defenses as Minter's unit ranked fourth in 2025 by allowing touchdowns 46.94 percent of the time.

"We've made some critical plays down there, some game-winning moments," Minter said. "As big a thing as anything in the red zone is just the mentality that it's OK if they're moving the ball. As long as there's a blade of grass between the touchdown line and where the ball is at, we have a chance. Our guys have embraced that mindset and that mentality."

The Patriots will counter with an offense that ranked 17th by finding the end zone 57.14 percent of the time. Minter noted that Maye's athleticism and scrambling ability will be even more of a focal point inside the 20-yard line.

On the other side of the ball, the Chargers offense was 29th in the NFL with a touchdown rate of 47.37 percent.

That percentage will likely need to improve if the Bolts want to win Sunday and make a potential deep playoff run.

But it might happen against a Patriots defense that ranked 30th in the red zone by allowing touchdowns at a 67.50 percent clip.

A hidden stat you need to know? New England's defense only faced 126 total plays in the red zone in 2025, the fewest in the league.

So while the Patriots did routinely allow touchdowns once opponents got inside the 20-yard line, New England also did a superb job of limiting those opportunities, too.

"They're hardly ever out of position and it's a sign of players that play by the rules and listen to great coaches," Herbert said of the Patriots defense. "They play together, they play fast and communicate really well."

It's common sense, but seven points are much better than three in any game. Especially a playoff game.

"The red zone, that's when the details really come in handy," Jefferson said. "It's all about execution down there and who executes the best."

5. Will Omarion Hampton play?

Good news for the Chargers offense: Omarion Hampton was a limited participant on Friday after not practicing on Wednesday and Thursday.

Hampton, who is dealing with an ankle injury, is listed as questionable to play on the final Chargers Injury Report.

"We're going to wait and see on that. He's working through his process with the medical group," Roman said. "He's engaged, he's ready mentally with the game plan and we'll have to wait and see."

The running back sounded optimistic on Friday.

"Yeah, that's the plan," Hampton said when asked about his status.

The Chargers have had to play without Hampton before as the 2025 first-round pick missed seven games with a different ankle injury earlier this season. Hampton also did not play in Week 18.

If Hampton cannot go or is limited, the Bolts have Kimani Vidal ready to go.

Vidal, a 2024 sixth-round pick, rushed for 643 yards on 155 attempts (4.1 yards per carry) and three touchdowns while making 10 starts. He also tallied a trio of 100-yard games.

"It was great to have those games where I was the No. 1 guy," Vidal said. "If [Hampton is] able to go, we'll be ready. He's trying to get back right.

"Whether he's up or down, I have confidence in the plan we have," Vidal said.

According to PFF, the Chargers ranked eighth in rushing EPA per play in 2025 at 0.005. The Chargers were 12th in rushing yards per game (121.6) and 13th in rushing yards per play (13), but Herbert's scrambling also factors into that.

New England ranked sixth in rushing yards allowed per game (101.7) and were 13th in rushing yards allowed per play (4.21). Overall, the Patriots were 17th in rushing EPA allowed per play (-0.088).

If the Chargers want to move on in the postseason, they will need to have at least a competent rushing attack in primetime.

"I feel like at the end of the day, it's our job to be able to go in and put pressure on them," Salyer said. "The best way to do that is to be able to run the ball, take some pressure off Justin, take some pressure off the defense.

"Running the ball at this time of year in the playoffs is everything. It's been the key to our success in a lot of games, and I don't foresee that changing at all moving forward," Salyer added. "Hopefully we come together, commit to the plan, commit to it as a unit, commit to it as an offense and I think it will help our team be very successful."

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